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Home/ Questions/Q 473
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Nilesh Jaiswal
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Nilesh JaiswalContributor
Asked: September 24, 20212021-09-24T05:22:29+05:30 2021-09-24T05:22:29+05:30In: Learning

How to Identify Fake Breakouts in Nifty and Bank Nifty?

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Retail traders lose huge money due to fake breakouts, how to identify them and get benefited out of it?

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      Vishal Jain
      2021-09-24T06:01:27+05:30Added an answer on September 24, 2021 at 6:01 am

      Break out trades are the most excited trades for the beginners. First let us understand what is a break out trade. Taking a trade whenever the stock/ index breaks the important levels like Support, Resistance, Previous Day High, Previous Day Low, etc., is called as a breakout trade.

      As per the back tested data around 30-40 percent breakouts are fake. Fake breakouts are nothing but the price manipulation by the big investors.

      Retail traders are the people who got trapped in the fake breakouts. So, how to identify the fake breakouts?

      Following are the signs to identify the high probability breakouts.

      • Candle should close after the breakout (in 5 minute time frame)
      • Breakout after consolidation for at least 20 to 30 minutes

      Consider the breakouts if they meet at least the above parameters. Avoid parabolic breakouts, most of the times it reverses immediately.

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    2. Sai Krishna
      2022-02-11T18:52:18+05:30Added an answer on February 11, 2022 at 6:52 pm

      5 Indications that determines the Fake Breakouts

      Here are a few indications that show the difference between fake and real breakout.

      1. Consider it as a fake breakout when the candle breaks out without any consolidation
      2. Breakout in higher time frames like 15 minutes or 1-hour time frame has high accuracy
      3. Always wait till the candle to close
      4. Avoid breakout if the wick is higher than the body
      5. Check if there are any CPR/pivot points immediately after the breakout

      If you follow the above rules before taking a breakout trading, you will easily identify the fake breakouts.

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